by npittman | Nov 2, 2020 | Campaign 2020, Forum
Imagine, for just a moment, a state where ballot measures to legalize recreational marijuana, increase the minimum wage, and limit campaign contributions at the state level have passed with strong majorities. A state where for the better part of a decade, population growth in urban counties has vastly outpaced that of more rural, and traditionally conservative, counties. For this is the political reality in Colorado. It’s simply not a swing state, or at least not by any reasonable definition of the term.
by npittman | Nov 2, 2020 | Campaign 2020, Forum
It has been almost 100 years since a Republican has won the presidency without winning the state of Florida. This trend is likely to continue as incumbent Donald Trump finds himself in dire need of a win in Florida if he is to secure reelection.
by npittman | Nov 2, 2020 | Campaign 2020, Forum
Since the 2016 election, Georgia has seen changes in the demographics of its voters. The electorate has become more diverse with a growing percentage of young and minority voters. Minority groups in Georgia consistently show higher preference and voting records for Democratic candidates than they do for Republican candidates, giving a significant new edge to Biden.
by npittman | Nov 2, 2020 | Campaign 2020, Forum
In the last twelve general elections, Iowa has supported the Republican candidate six times and the Democratic candidate six times, correctly predicting the general election winner nine out of the twelve elections.
by npittman | Nov 2, 2020 | Campaign 2020, Forum
As the largest district east of the Mississippi, Maine’s 2nd congressional district leans Republican but is not reliably red … What makes this swing district so unpredictable is its independent streak, yet in 9 of the past 12 presidential elections, the 2nd district has backed the White House winner, including the last three.