Introducing Our 2022 Midterm Election Predictions
Each week, I’m fortunate to have class with 13 outstanding honors students … each student was assigned a competitive House race to track along with a statewide race.
Texas Governor’s Race: Too Good to be Blue
Prediction: 2022 is not looking like the year that Texas flips blue, and it’s almost guaranteed that Greg Abbott will continue to be the Governor of the Lone Star State.
Nevada Senate Race: In the Fight for Control of the Senate, Nevada Senate Race Remains a Toss-Up
Prediction: Overall, the Nevada Senate race is purely a toss-up. Republican Adam Laxalt has been able to close the gap in the polls, but incumbent Democrat Cortez Masto has the campaign fundraising and spending advantage that may be able to successfully defend her seat for another term.
Arizona Senate Race: Kelly vs. Masters Comes Down to the Wire
There is every indication that this race will end up being a toss-up, and you would have the best chance of accurately picking the winner of this race by flipping a coin.
Kansas Governor’s Race: Will Kelly Win Again?
Prediction: It appears that the increased mobilization of female, Democratic voters by the Supreme Court’s Dobbs Decision and the appeal of Laura Kelly’s reputation as a moderate Democrat to centrist voters will tilt the election in her favor.
New Hampshire Senate Race: A Close Contest in the Granite State
Prediction: Bolduc will win despite his lack of incumbency advantage and low fundraising, due to the issues of the economy and inflation being at the top of the minds of most voters, and the historic trend of the midterms being a referendum on the President’s party.