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Historically, Nevada has been known to volley back and forth between Democrats and Republicans, but in recent elections one can see a definite blue trend. Nevadans voted for the Democratic candidate in the last three Presidential elections, supporting Clinton in 2016 and Obama in both his terms.
Since 1992, Ohio has been a bellwether in presidential elections, with each winning candidate carrying the state. In 2016, Ohio followed the trend by supporting President Trump by an astonishing 8.1 points in the polls. Now, as Biden seemingly gains in the polls against Trump, Trump’s substantive victory in the state four years ago remains an important context.
The state that remained undefeated for the Democrats since 1988 swung for Trump in 2016, and now finds itself in the spotlight once again as arguably the most important set of electoral votes in the country.
Texas has exclusively been won by Republicans for the past four decades, with a margin usually over 10 points. Trump’s race there in 2016 was no exception, and yet, this year, former Vice President Joe Biden has a competitive chance there.
In Virginia, Biden is highly favored to win. Local polls have him up over ten points since the beginning of October. Virginia’s 13 electoral votes went to Secretary Clinton in 2016 and President Obama in both 2012 and 2008.
The race to win the Badger State is bound to be close, and we likely will not know the results from the state until after election day on November 3rd.